Background Reading

In October 1347, Italian ships on the Black Sea en route to and from China dock in Messina, Sicily -- their crews are dead or dying. Whatever is killing them quickly spreads ashore. Within a month, it passes through Sicily and moves back out over water. By January 1348, it has penetrated France via Marseille and North Africa via Tunis, and by July 1348, it spreads through France, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, Eastern Hungary, and Southern England. This is all the more amazing given that at this time it took a person one to three months to travel from London to Rome. The plague died out in the winters and was resurrected in the springs. At the end of 1349, it had spread throughout the British Isles and Scandinavia and continued to move east.

The death toll was massive -- the "official" figure is one-third of Europe dead between 1348 and 1351, when it temporarily abated, but keep in mind that in some towns the death toll was 90 percent -- in others 10 percent. Further, the poor and anyone else living in close quarters (monks, for instance) died at a higher rate. Many monasteries were completely wiped out, but the death rates among the nobility and the nobility of the church were very low. Understandably, people wanted to know why this was happening to them. Here are the four prominent hypotheses of the day:

The claim of academics and physicians: The plague was the result of a triple conjunction of Saturn, Jupiter, and Mars on March 20, 1345.

The Roman Catholic Church's claim: God's wrath -- it was a punishment for the people's sins.

The claim of the mayors and town-controlling nobles: Poor sanitation. Dumping waste in the streets leads to sickness (a revolutionary claim at the time -- no one actually knew this to be true).

The claim of the masses (i.e., everyone else): The Jews are poisoning the wells.

Here is the "evidence" used by each group, respectively, to support its claim:

Medicine at the time was based on astrology and astronomy. Most physical sickness was attributed to poor alignment of the stars. The conjunction had happened, and it was a rare celestial event. Other events had been tied to celestial causes. Many were waiting to see what the triple conjunction would cause, and when the Black Plague occurred, they felt that they had found out.

The Church said, "Look around." Plunder, looting, rape, prostitution, war, and drinking were everywhere. God's wrath had shown itself in destructive ways before -- the people of Noah's time were hit with a flood, and the people of Sodom and Gomorrah were destroyed.

The sanitation workers were among the first to die, and other diseases were suspected to be related to poor sanitation.

Christians tortured "confessions" out of Jews. The Jews were believed to be "jealous" of the Christians (because, it was thought, the Jews knew "in their hearts" that they were damned). The lepers had been blamed for poisoning the wells and causing the typhus outbreak in 1320 (after the Black Plague, it was believed that the Jews set them up to it).

Here are some problems people at the time saw with the evidence:

Nobody but the academics and physicians believed their explanation!

If God's wrath already has descended, there's no reason to change one's behavior. The attitude was roughly, "If we're already doomed, why alter our behavior?"

Later sanitation workers appeared to be immune (unknown to the people, they'd been exposed and had developed a resistance). If it really was poor sanitation, why weren't they still dying? In fact, this immunity among sanitation workers caused many people to think the sanitation workers had magical powers. People followed them on their street-cleaning routes, trying to absorb some of the immunity. Others, more desperate, actually applied waste to themselves, thinking that it would keep the disease away.

So many Jews died too (Why would any community poison itself?). The other problem is that the plague was present in areas where no Jews lived.

Monday, February 23, 2009

The Claim of the masses

First let’s state what they conveyed: Jews were jealous of the Christians Therefore they poisoned the wells.I think that such claim commits the Bandwagon fallacy which takes an argument as true just because it is very popular. As in this case, in the whole extract it says that “the Jews knew ‘in their hearts’ that they were damned”, this is an assumption that by the mere fact of being popular is accepted as true; In the same fallacy we see as well that “the Jews were believed to be ‘jealous’ of the Christians”, it is said their own word, “were believed”, there is no proof, no way to demonstrate this rather than thoughts from people, which is not tangible evidence. Also the red herring fallacy is present, in which the author introduces a different topic into the arguments. In such arguments it is said that “the lepers had been blamed for poisoning the wells and causing the typhus outbreak in 1320”. I don’t get the association between the typhus and the black plague, they are two different illnesses, and therefore there is no reason to make a connection between them two. It seems to me that one is trying to justify the other, which is the Typhus is justifying the spread of the Black plague. Plus the origin of the Black plague is not defined, but based on the background reading, the black plague emerged in 1347, and this argument is referring to 1320.
To me the assumptions mentioned above are unfounded; they are mostly based on a popular idea that was believed during the time; however there was no solid evidence to prove so, therefore the problem encountered by the people of that period is completely valid and justifiable.

1 comment:

  1. Good Malbery - you note the issues with date contradictions that go largely unnoticed by earlier historians!

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